This story appears in ESPN The Magazines September 19 NFL Preview II Issue.
Dennis Byrd Jersey . Subscribe today!AFTER A
12-YEAR hiatus, the World Cup returns for Round 3 on Sept. 17 in Toronto, with
eight teams vying for global bragging rights, including the new
continent-spanning Team Europe and Team North America, with 23-and-unders from
the U.S. and Canada. Who will win? For that, we used the goals versus threshold
(GVT)* metric -- think WAR -- to rank each roster. Then we sought out ESPNs
mullet man himself, Barry Melrose, to pinpoint each teams X-factor player.
Spoiler alert: The Canadians appear to be good at hockey.1. CANADAJust how good
is Canada? The likes of Taylor Hall and P.K. Subban (who both posted north of 50
points in the NHL last season) didnt make the cut. Despite the scratch of the
Stars Jamie Benn, forwards on this roster recorded an average of 65 points last
season -- seven more than the U.S. team, the next-highest group. All seven
defensemen averaged over 23 minutes per game, and Carey Price, the 2014-15 NHL
MVP, will man the net. Giving Sidney Crosby and the Canadians home-ice advantage
to defend the teams 2004 title almost feels unfair.MELROSE X-FACTOR: LW BRAD
MARCHAND I think Marchand is a real lightning rod for Canada. If theyre a little
flat, he will go out, run into somebody, get somebody mad and get Canada fired
up.2. UNITED STATESFor those whove forgotten, the U.S. did win the first World
Cup back in 96. And if Patrick Kane (46 goals for the Blackhawks) & Co. can
give Team USAs trio of goaltenders (Jonathan Quick, Cory Schneider and Ben
Bishop, who combined for a .923 save percentage) enough goal support, it has a
shot this time too. The U.S. can grind down opponents with centers Ryan Kesler
and David Backes in front of the net, creating opportunities for playmakers such
as Kane, Zach Parise and T.J. Oshie. The test for the U.S. comes early: a
faceoff with Canada in the preliminary round on Sept. 20.MELROSE X-FACTOR: LW
JAMES VAN RIEMSDYK JVR is a 6-foot-3 forward with skill. The Americans need a
big forward to have a successful tournament, and he is a bit of a wild card. A
real pivotal player.3. SWE?DENThe Swedish roster combines experienced vets in
forward Loui Eriksson, center Nicklas Backstrom and Canucks twins Daniel and
Henrik Sedin with youth in the form of defenseman Victor Hedman and forward
Filip Forsberg. The Swedes play a fast finesse game and can move the puck up ice
in a hurry -- their defenders averaged 33 assists in the NHL last season, more
than the average for any other team. Sweden has ten 20-goal scorers, which
should provide plenty of cover for goalie Henrik Lundqvist, who holds a .923
save percentage over the past five seasons.MELROSE X-FACTOR: LW GABRIEL
LANDESKOG I think its time for these young Swedes to take over up front, and
Landeskog is one of those guys. Hes obviously a leader -- Colorado made him the
captain very young.4. RUSSIAWhat to expect from Russia? Fast, physical, powerful
-- just like its best player, left winger Alex Ovechkin, who netted 50 goals for
the Caps last season. Russias forward group -- led by Ovi, St. Louis Vladimir
Tarasenko, Pavel Datsyuk and Chicagos Artemi Panarin -- averaged 0.33 goals per
game last season, third best of the eight teams. But will that be enough to
counter shortcomings on the defensive side? The defense lacks a true game
breaker, and none of Russias three goalies bettered a 2.75 goals-against average
last season.MELROSE X-FACTOR: RW VLADIMIR TARASENKO Every year Tarasenko is a
dominant player -- one of the top point getters, runs the power play. I think
its time for him to show people how good he is on the big stage.5. NORTH
AMERICAIts unfair to criticize this squad for being young. It literally exists
for that reason. Still, the roster has just a combined 240 games of playoff
experience, and six of the players have yet to skate in a playoff game. Break
out the Baby Bjorns! Then again, whats age when youve got skill in the trio of
phenoms Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel and Auston Matthews and the size of Seth
Jones (6-4) and Colton Parayko (6-6) on defense? Also, the goaltending situation
cleared up this spring with Matt Murrays Stanley Cup heroics for the Pens. Dont
sleep on the JV team.MELROSE X-FACTOR: LW BRANDON SAAD The vast majority of this
roster hasnt played significant minutes in big games -- Brandon Saad has. The
more important he becomes in the lineup, the better he plays.6. EUROPEEurope
falls into the dreaded Group A with the U.S. and Canada -- which would be great
if this were a U.N. cocktail party and not, you know, ?a winner-take-all hockey
tournament. Europes bigger problem? This is the oldest squad at the World Cup,
with an average age of 30. The team will lean on the two-way play of center Anze
Kopitar (plus-34) and scoring of winger Mats Zuccarello (26 goals). But the key
will be picking the goalie, as the Islanders Jaroslav Halak and Thomas Greiss
are both capable of winning games -- but also capable of blowing them.MELROSE
X-FACTOR: D ROMAN JOSI Josi is going to be on the ice against every other teams
best player. Hes going to see a ton of tough minutes, plus kill penalties and
play the power play.7. CZECH REPUBLICThe good news? Forward Roman Cervenka, a
late injury replacement for David Krejci, scored 23 goals last season in the
Czech Extraliga, the most of anyone on the Czech roster. The bad news? Ten
players on Team Canada and seven on Team USA surpassed that tally. The Czech
Republic will need wingers Jakub Voracek and Ondrej Palat (55 and 40 points,
respectively, last season) to take over games and goalie Petr Mrazek to play
like he did in the first half of last season for Detroit (.932 save percentage
before the All-Star break, .899 after). Defense is another story: The Czechs
lack anyone who played at least 23 minutes per game last year.MELROSE X-FACTOR:
RW DAVID PASTRNAK With his speed and shooting ability, Pastrnak can get open.
Hes got a lot of experience for a guy at his age and could really become a star
of that Czech team.8. FINLANDPatrik Laine checks in as the youngest player in
the tournament, but the 18-year-old might have to put the Finns on his back at
the World Cup. Laine, who scored 17 goals in Liiga last season, joins only one
NHL 20-goal scorer on the roster, the Panthers Aleksander Barkov. On the other
end of the ice, Olli Maatta and Sami Vatanen will have to be ready for big
minutes on defense, and Tuukka Rask, who led Finland to a bronze medal in the
2014 Olympics, will have ?to rebound in net from a poor NHL campaign by his
standards (2.56 GAA for Boston).MELROSE X-FACTOR: C MIKKO KOIVU Koivu has size,
skating ability and a hockey pedigree but always leaves me wanting more out of
him. I still think hes the most talented forward on that team.*Goals versus
threshold (GVT) is calculated based on a three-year weighted average of the goal
differential for each player on each roster compared with a replacement-level
NHLer and then adjusted to likely ice time in the World Cup. Courtesy of Hockey
Abstract and Hockey Prospectus.
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a position the day he was fired. He accepted earlier this week and the team made
the announcement Friday.
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Radek Stepanek defeated Nenad Zimonjic and Ilija Bozoljac 6-2, 6-4, 7-6 (4) on
the indoor hard-court at Belgrade Arena. The victory improved the Czech pairs
impressive cup doubles record to 14-1.
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. Inter president Erick Thohir says in a club statement on Wednesday that Vidic
is "one of the worlds best defenders and his qualities, international pedigree,
and charisma will be an asset. INDIANAPOLIS -- The Indianapolis Colts followed
the blueprint to get back into playoff contention.They started fast and finished
strong. They were creative with play-calling and fortunate enough to get a
couple of good bounces.And with the 2006 Super Bowl champs watching every play,
these Colts did something to make the old guys proud: Beating Tennessee yet
again.Andrew Luck led the Colts to touchdowns on each of their first three
possessions and the defense staved off the Titans second-half charge for a 24-17
victory on Sunday.Love the way the guys responded, loved the way we started the
ballgame. We went out and put 21 quick points on the board. The defense was
outstanding, coach Chuck Pagano said after Indy moved into second in the AFC
South.The Colts (5-5) have won back-to-back games for the first time all season
-- and for the first time they no longer have a losing record.If Houston loses
Monday night at Mexico City, the Colts would be one game out of the division
lead and potentially in position to win the title by winning their final two
division games in Indy.The Colts have won 11 straight against Tennessee (5-6)
and still have not lost to the Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium, which opened in
2008.Its not about the streak, its not about here. Its not about ... somebody
asked me something about their helmets. Its not that, Titans coach Mike Mularkey
said. This was a team that played better than we did today, coached better than
we did today.Even as the script changed.Luck led usually slow-starting Indy on
three straight touchdown drives to open the game.The second was set up when
Frank Gore took the snap, ran left and flipped the ball to Luck who had lined up
at receiver. Luck looked up the field and spotted the wide-open Gore for a
49-yard pass play.Indy made it 21-0 when T.Y. Hilton caught a pass that slipped
right through the fingers of Titans cornerback Perrish Cox. Afterward, Cox
looked around in dismay.Tennessee answered with a 3-yard TD pass from Marcus
Mariota to DeMarco Murray in the final minute of the first half, a 34-yard TD
pass from Mariota to Tajae Sharppe and a 47-yard field goal from Ryan Succop to
make it 21-17.
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Vinatieri answered with a 49-yard field goal and the Titans last gasp ended when
Murray was stopped for no gain at the Colts 19-yard line with 2:42 left.What a
great stop, what a gritty fourth-down stop by the defense to win the game, Luck
said.Luck was 15 of 28 for 262 yards with two touchdowns and one interception,
while Hilton finished with five catches for 97 yards.Mariota was 25 of 38 for
290 yards with two TD passes -- his seventh straight game with more than one,
breaking Warren Moons franchise record.STREAK BUSTERVinatieris NFL record streak
of consecutive field goals ended at 44 when a 42-yarder sailed wide right. While
he has been terrific at just about every venue, the window end of Lucas Oil
Stadium that has given so many other kickers trouble finally caught up to
Vinatieri on Sunday.MURRAYS MILESTONESMurray, the 2014 rushing champion, reached
the 1,000-yard mark for the third time in his career -- barely. The NFLs
second-leading rusher entering the game ran 20 times for 70 yards to give him
exactly 1,000. His streak of consecutive games with a rushing score ended at
five, tying Earl Campbells franchise record.INJURY REPORTTennessee left tackle
Taylor Lewan limped off the field with 5:34 to go. Mularkey said Lewan will have
an MRI on his left knee Monday. Titans cornerback Brice McCain left in the first
half with a leg injury, but returned in the second half and picked off Luck.THEY
SAID ITTitans: We were outplayed and we were out-coached until we all settled
down and got back into a groove, Mularkey said. And I give our guys credit.
Nobody panicked.Colts: If I told you, Id have to kill you and, uh, that wasnt
how we drew it up, Luck said when asked about the name of the trick play he ran
with Gore.UP NEXTTitans: Visit Chicago next Sunday.Colts: Host Pittsburgh on
Thanksgiving night.---For more NFL coverage:
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